Gameweek 33’s Most-Transferred in Players: Good Pick or Trap?

Managers are pouring FPL transfers into double gameweek 33 assets at a remarkable rate, but not every popular pick deserves a place in your squad. The DGW33 frenzy is real, and with Man City and Bournemouth both doubling up, the temptation to blindly chase ownership is understandable. However, rotation risk, injury concerns, and poor form mean that several of the most-transferred players this week are genuine FPL traps dressed up as golden opportunities.

We’ve ranked all 10 of the most-transferred players heading into GW33 using a simple three-tier framework: ✅ Safe Bet, ⚠️ Potential Trap, and 🚨 Trap. Before you lock in your changes, make sure you’ve also checked our GW33 captains piece, it directly informs several of the verdicts below.

Erling Haaland vs ARS (H), BUR (A), £14.4m

✅ Safe Bet. Haaland is the player you simply cannot afford to not own heading into the Man City DGW. At 59.3% ownership, blanking without him is an instant rank-killer. Yes, Arsenal at home is a tough fixture, nobody is pretending otherwise, but Burnley away is about as close to a banker as you’ll get in the Premier League. His 22 goals this season and xGI of 23.58 tell the full story. Hold, potentially captain, and don’t overthink it.

Rayan Cherki – £6.3m

⚠️ Potential Trap, But Worth the Risk. Cherki is the most transferred player in GW33 with over 148,000 incoming transfers, and it’s easy to see why. He’s in incredible form, has 11 assists, and that jaw-dropping creative ceiling make him irresistible on paper. The concern is Pep Guardiola. With Arsenal at home in one of those two City fixtures, there is every chance Cherki is managed carefully, either rotated or brought off the bench for one of the games.

If he starts both, he could be the DGW’s standout scorer. That’s genuinely possible. But going in with eyes wide open on the rotation risk is non-negotiable here. At just 8.7% ownership, he’s still a differential worth considering, particularly if you are on FH33 and want to challenge the WC32 template. In which case he is excellent. Although he is a potential minutes risk he is definitely worth the risk due to his ceiling. He is arguably one of the few creative forces in world football with the talent to unlock Arsenal’s solid defence.

Senesi vs NEW (A), LEE (H)

✅ Safe Bet. Wheels up for Bournemouth defenders in GW33. Senesi has been a rock in that backline all season, 2,748 minutes played, four assists, and an xGI of 5.51, and the Bournemouth DGW fixtures are genuinely exciting.

Leeds at home in particular is a brilliant clean sheet opportunity, and Newcastle away, while trickier, is very manageable. With 117,363 transfers in this week, managers are clearly clocking the value. At £5.2m, this is one of the cleanest plays of the double Gameweek. He also leads all defenders in total DefCons for the season. Again, not one to overthink.

Marc Guéhi vs ARS (H), BUR (A)

✅ Safe Bet. Guehi’s recent form has been fantastic, both physically and in the FPL sense, and his move into the Man City defence has made him one of the most exciting DGW assets available.

Double clean sheet potential in City’s backline, cost-effective at £5.1m, and delivering consistently across the season with attacking returns. The 93,884 transfers in this week are entirely justified. Honestly we do not even mind the City double up at the back considering how cagey and defensive Arsenal are likely to set up against City. This could easily be 2 clean sheets +Defcons/Attacking Return.

Nico O’Reilly vs ARS (H), BUR (A)

⚠️ Potential Trap, Injury Doubt. O’Reilly is doubtful with a muscle injury carrying a yellow flag, and that uncertainty fundamentally changes the calculus here. The underlying numbers are superb, 5 goals, 3 assists, an xGI of 6.46, and that ridiculous form rating of 14.0, but if he misses even one of those two City fixtures, you’ve dramatically diluted the DGW value. With Guehi already offering a cleaner route into the City defence, the injury flag on O’Reilly makes him a gamble. Check the predicted lineups and team news right up to deadline before committing.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin vs WOL (H), BOU (A)

🚨 Trap. There is no two ways around it, Calvert-Lewin is the clearest trap among GW33’s most-transferred players. He’s been out of form to say the least, and while Leeds do have a DGW33 with Wolves at home and Bournemouth away, those fixtures are far from straightforward. Wolves at home isn’t the fixture it once was, and Bournemouth away involves a Bournemouth side whose defence has only conceded 6 goals in their last 9 games.

Taking out the 2 goals against 10 man Man United, Leeds had failed to find the net in the previous 4 games before that, and have now lost one of their main playmakers in Stach to injury.

Nearly 100,000 managers are bringing him in, that number is baffling. Leeds’s attack has been dire the last 5 weeks and I just cant see them scoring much as a result.

Alex Scott vs NEW (A), LEE (H)

✅ Safe Bet. Scott has clearly caught managers’ eyes this week following his performance against Arsenal with 104,203 transfers in, and the Bournemouth DGW is the obvious draw. Plus, at 2.5% ownership, the differential value is there to see. Not least considering he was not a prominent feature on WC32 teams.

His goal against Arsenal was indicative of a man who loves to get forward, evidenced by him averaging an xGI per 90 of 0.35 across his last 5 games. Hence why he was our number 1 differential in our Gameweek 32 Differentials Article.

Although he has strong upside in the double fixtures, particularly Leeds at home, but also against a struggling Newcastle side, It’s his floor that is his main attraction for the double, and the reason he is a safe bet. Not only is he absolutely nailed to start in both games, he also averages 12+ DefCons a game. Making him a great option for anyone Free Hitting or using transfers.

Antoine Semenyo vs ARS (H), BUR (A)

⚠️ Potential Trap, Form & Rotation Concern. High ownership, a cooling off in form mean and a potential rotation risk means Semenyo finds himself in the potential trap category.

Yes, he’s registered 15 goals and 6 assists this season, and yes, City have two fixtures. But Guardiola will often rotate his attackers not named Haaland. Especially when fixtures are congested. Even if he continues his starting streak, with such high effective ownership (56.7%), you’d be buying THE template asset whose 2 blanks in a row could potentially mean he is rotated or rested for one of the matches.

The risk-reward balance isn’t compelling right now. The Cherki gamble has much more upside. Especially if you are chasing rank and not trying to stay ahead.

João Pedro vs MUN (H), BHA (A)

⚠️ Potential Trap, Chelsea’s Attacking Drought. João Pedro has been one of the season’s best FPL value plays, 14 goals, 9 assists, and 166 total points are genuinely brilliant numbers. But Chelsea’s attacking drought is the defining concern right now, and his individual form reflects it. Chelsea have now lost 4 of their last 5 in the league and have failed to even score in their last 3 league outings.

The Chelsea DGW33 fixtures against Manchester United at home and Brighton away aren’t terrible on paper, but until this Chelsea side starts finding the net again, transfers into their attackers carry real risk. He’s a hold if you own him, but bringing him in this week over say a Kroupi, Welbeck, Haaland etc, carries a bit of risk. The only justification for doing so could be that Brighton and Bournemouth slots are better used on defenders and midfielders.

Other creators have also pointed out the Chelsea risk, such as FPL Harry, who has also flagged City and Chelsea DGW picks as potential traps.

Thiago – £7.3m

🔶 Great Option if not Free Hitting. Thiago has been genuinely excellent this season, 21 goals, 166 total points, and a form of 7.7 that reflects a player in good nick. He’s not a panic buy by any stretch. The issue is straightforward: Brentford don’t have a double gameweek 33. Rushing to bring him in specifically because of his GW32 haul doesn’t make much sense when the players above him on this list are all playing twice. HOWEVER,  if you have already used your Free Hit he is a great option, as Fulham this week is not a bad attacking fixture at all, especially given the form he’s in.

The Verdict: Who To Prioritise Before Deadline

The safe plays for GW33 are clear: Haaland, Senesi, Scott and Guehi are the picks you can trust. They offer DGW upside without the rotation or injury headaches that plague several of their City and Bournemouth teammates. If you’re building around the Man City DGW, Guehi is the most reliable defensive route in. Although should O’Reilly be fit, he becomes the best option.

Among the potential traps, Cherki has the highest ceiling but demands the most faith in Pep’s squad management. O’Reilly needs a fitness green light before you commit. Calvert-Lewin is the one to avoid entirely, the transfer volumes don’t reflect any analytical reasoning that holds up under scrutiny, plus he has led me astray one too many times. As always, check the predicted lineups and team news hub right before the deadline to validate your final squad decisions.

Check out our Game Week Tips section for more Game Week 33 Tips.