The Transfers That are PROVEN to Happen Every Time on FM26

Ever noticed some recurring events happening on different saves? Maybe a player seems to get injured at similar points, maybe managers end up taking the same job. Or maybe, just maybe, the Transfer Window itself is pre-determined.

Think that the transfer window is completely random? Think again. These FM26 transfers happen almost every single save and it’s a bit unsettling. A recent experiment by sortitoutsi on their blog has shone a light on FM26’s AI logic. There’s a few transfers that the AI makes.

EVERY. SINGLE. TIME.

To do this they removed the human element altogether. Identical FM26 saves were created using the same database, leagues and start date. In each one, the manager was unemployed and immediately sent on holiday straight through to the end of the summer transfer window. Once the window closed, every save was compared side by side.

Out of all the summer business across those saves, ten moves stood out. These were transfers that happened in all five games without exception.

 

Here’s the full list:

• Stanislav Lobotka – Napoli to Newcastle (around £27m)

 

• Hidemasa Morita – Sporting CP to Napoli (£18–19m)

 

• Alexis Saelemaekers – AC Milan to PSG (£27.5m)

 

• Danilho Doekhi – Union Berlin to Bayer Leverkusen (£7m)

 

• Francisco Trincão – Sporting CP to Al-Ahli (£52m)

 

• Emil Krafth – Newcastle to Brighton (£4.7–7.75m)

 

• Marco Carnesecchi – Atalanta to Al-Hilal (£14m)

 

• Ben Davies – Tottenham to Fiorentina (£7.25m)

 

• Eric Garcia – Barcelona to Bayern Munich (£16.75m)

 

• Filip Kostić – Juventus to Rennes (£1.3m)

So, what to make all of this? Is it realistic because it shows that the transfer market is structured and believable and that’s why the AI constantly picks certain profile? Or does it show that the transfer market is too predictable?

Let me know your theories below and whether you’d expect there to be more or less transfers exactly the same!

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