Premier League Accumulator: Gameweek 12 High Odds Value Acca (November 23rd-24th)

This is the first of our new, weekly Premier League accumulator articles here at Ingenuity, and honestly we think it couldn’t have come at a better time. We’ve survived the international break (that Scotland Denmark game was absolute scenes was it not?) and the Premier League is officially back and we get a massive North London Derby on Sunday – pure Barclays at it’s best. While you are potentially stressing over whether to captain Haaland or how to replace Gabriel in FPL, we have taken some load off your plate and done the heavy lifting on this weekend’s Premier League betting markets to find the best value across the board. Let’s get some green arrows, and some green ticks on the betting slip for Gameweek 12!

Make sure to check out our Premier League predicted lineups, odds, preview and predictions for each game this weekend via our Premier League Predicted Lineups main hub to get all of the latest team and injury news, as well as live odds and our predictions before placing any bets and setting your FPL lineups!

14/1 Huge Value Premier League Accumulator (November 23-24th)

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Acca Selections:

• Chelsea to Win (over Burnley) – 19/40
• Liverpool to win (over Nottingham Forests) – 4/9
• Both Teams to Score in Brighton vs Brentford – 13/20
• Over 1.5 Total Goals in Bournemouth vs West Ham – 1/5
• Crystal Palace to Win (over Wolves) – 1/1
• Manchester City to Win or Draw (vs Newcastle) – 2/7
• Under 3.5 Total Goals in Arsenal vs Tottenham – 2/5

Acca Reasonings:

Chelsea to Win vs Burnley:

Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 Premier League games with those wins coming over Liverpool, Nottingham Forest, Tottenham and Wolves. The wins over Spurs and Forest came away from home so travelling to Turf Moore should not be an issue. Chelsea have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, during seasons where Chelsea were a tangibly worse side than this current 25/26 side, with the aggregate score being 13-4 over the last 5 meetings. Pedro Neto and Enzo Fernandez are expected to be fit which is a boost and with Delap now back Chelsea’s attacking depth is a strength. It is hard to see past Chelsea winning this one and likely winning it comfortably.

Liverpool to Win vs Nottingham Forest:

While Liverpool have been inconsistent at best, and looked woeful against Manchester City for stretches of that game, the international break will likely have been a great time to reset for Slot and to plan out how to attack this next stretch of games with his immensely talented squad. Alisson and Isak are returning to full match fitness which will help both in defence and attack. Wirtz had an excellent international break as did Gakpo, Van Dijk and Robertson among others. The Reds will be at Anfield which will provide them any extra boost needed and prior to the Man City loss, they were performing much better and getting results against Villa, Frankfurt and Real Madrid. Dyche’s Forest should provide the platform for Liverpool to get a comfortable win and build some momentum.

Both Teams to Score in Brighton vs Brentford:

Prior to their last 2 games that have ended 2-0 vs Leeds and 0-0 vs Palace, both teams had scored in Brighton’s previous 7 league games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Brentford’s last 9 league games. Both teams have weaker defences but field very strong forward lines with players like Damsgaard, Thiago, Schade, Minteh and Welbeck who are in fine form in front of goal, as well as Karou Mitoma almost certainly returning to Brighton’s starting lineup after missing their last 5 league games. 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams has produced games where both teams have scored, with the other 2 games being 0-0 draws but I cannot see any scenario where that is the scoreline this weekend.

Over 1.5 Total Goals in Bournemouth vs West Ham:

I would have just selected Bournemouth to win this one at home but with Semenyo, Kluivert and Adams all potential doubts, and West Ham winning their last game while Bournemouth were thrashed 4-0 by Aston Villa, that felt unnecessarily risky. However, over 1.5 Total Goals in this one seems almost inevitable. That has landed in Bournemouth’s last 6 league games. Over 1.5 Total Goals has landed in EVERY West Ham Premier League game this season – can’t get a safer leg of a bet than this one I reckon.

Crystal Palace to Win vs Wolves:

While Crystal Palace have only won 1 of their last 5, they are a talented team that started the season in blistering form, and will be determined to get their season back on track and build positive momentum by beating 20th place in the Premier League. Palace’s away form is solid with 2 wins over Villa and West Ham, 2 draws against Brighton and Chelsea (both derbies to some extent) and 2 losses to league leaders Arsenal and Everton. Wolves will be, by a distance, the worst team they will have played away from home this season and Wolves have lost 4 straight in the league. Got to back the current FA Cup holders to get all 3 points in this one.

Manchester City to Win or Draw vs Newcastle:

Newcastle have been the most disappointing team in the league this season and are in the midst of a horrendous run of league form, having lost or drawn 5 of their last 7 including losing their last 2 games to West Ham and Brentford – two perceived relegation candidates in pre-season. They also have a laundry list of injury concerns heading in to this game with Livramento, Gordon, Pope, Wissa and Osula all doubts and Dan Burn is suspended.

Manchester City however look like one of the best teams in Europe and are churning out wins, including a thrashing of champions Liverpool prior to the international break. City have only lost 1 of their last 14 games in all competitions, 1 of their last 8 in the league. We have factored in the effect of St. James Park in this one by allowing for a draw, but it is difficult to see Newcastle winning this game and therefore Man City x Draw Double Chance at 2/7 odds was too good to pass up.

Under 3.5 Total Goals in Arsenal vs Tottenham:

Arsenal are the best defensive side in Europe even with Gabriel out; young Mosquera has looked terrific when he has played. Thomas Frank’s Spurs are a much harder team to beat and break down than Ange’s. Only 1 of Arsenal’s last 9 league games have gone over the 3.5 Total Goal mark, and only 1 of Tottenham’s last 6 league games. Arsenal are not a great open play chance creating team, having only scored 7 open play goals in 11 games, and Spurs have had own chance creation issues of their own and I cannot see them scoring more than 1 goal against this Arsenal side. Seeing 4 goals in this game Sunday would come as a shock to myself and most – so Under 3.5 Total Goals at 2/5 absolutely seemed worth the ‘risk’.